Forum Replies Created
Alfredo, you should have received your stimulus payment long ago electronically. I got mine over a month ago that way. My parents haven’t used bank transfer for tax payments/refunds, so they got their stimulus on a debit card, only last week.
Jimmy Carter was a terrible president. This doesn’t reflect on his character – obviously, he has been probably the best ex-president America has ever had. But his ex-presidency has nothing to do with his four years as president. We should try not to confuse them.
If you think about it, the election of Jimmy Carter is almost as bizarre and unexpected as the election of Trump. Carter was a one-term Georgia governor – even his election as governor was improbable – who took advantage of an evolving Democratic primary system in 1976 to out-maneuver a lot of seasoned politicians who were heavily favored by pundits – remind you of 2016? Of course, Carter was not a loud-mouth p**sy-grabbing white supremacist assh**e like Trump clearly was in 2016, but Carter was barely more qualified to be president than Trump was in 2016.
Carter beat Ford in 1976 in a very close race, because of the terrible fallout for Republicans over the Watergate scandal, not to mention the usual pendulum swinging back toward the Democrats after eight years of Republican control of the White house. Carter was a breath of fresh air compared to all of the seasoned politicians people were tired of – sound familiar?
I was ridiculed recently on another forum for suggesting that Trump should be targeted to Republican voters as “your Jimmy Carter.” Whatever Carter’s ex-presidency has been, Republicans still remember him as even worse than he was – as some sort of weakling, ineffective president, the president who lectured more than led, who presided over a terrible economy that got worse on his watch: double-digit inflation and interest rates and gas lines along with nagging unemployment. Of course, most egregious to Republicans would be the failed rescue mission of US hostages in Iran, the ultimate symbol of American weakness.
To compare Carter to Trump in an ad (to Republicans – put up an ad on Fox News) would be the ultimate insult – and I think some Republicans would quietly agree that the comparison has some merit. At worst, you might discourage some Republican voters and get them to stay home on election day.
Missing: “Well several members of my family will remain priced out, because of Obamacare.”
So you prefer the old system where they could be denied insurance for a pre-existing condition? Or just dropped if they got sick?
Anyone who has been following the issue all along knows that the ACA had some issues and needed/needs to be fixed. So did Social Security and Medicare – not perfect by a long shot when first passed. Congress needed to tweak both laws numerous times to get them right. But the only reason this has not happened with Obamacare is that Republicans have been preventing any changes to the law since 2011.
Yet you support another four years of Trump, who is trying to repeal Obamacare outright, which would throw millions of people off of their insurance, including many lower income people on Medicaid. And bring back pre-existing conditions, etc.
This is why so many Sanders supporters realize how imperative it is to elect Joe Biden in November. Too bad you and your fellow Trumpers don’t get it.
Yeah, plus those damn Democrats will let those migrant kids out of their cages! That would be terrible. And my brother will be able to keep his health care if Biden keeps Obamacare. That would suck.
Deane, you certainly don’t have to vote. You can also write in a candidate’s name instead of one of the two party nominees.
Missing, If you don’t think a Biden presidency would be better than a Trump presidency, then there’s just no reasoning with you. Because that’s what it comes down to at this point: Biden or Trump. It’s not complicated. That’s where Bernie Sanders and many of his supporters are now – they know a Biden presidency would be light years better than another four years of Trump. But, maybe you think you are smarter than Sanders.
Missing: “The only real difference, snark aside, is the party leaving people behind.”
The Democratic Party is leaving no one behind. By definition, they represent their voters. You and your Bernie Bros are not Democrats.May 27, 2020 at 3:38 pm in reply to: Election model, accurate for many past elections, predicts Biden landslide #46541
Trump is a fraud, so maybe there is some validity to his claim that some voting by mail is fraudulent.May 26, 2020 at 9:55 pm in reply to: Election model, accurate for many past elections, predicts Biden landslide #46534
Edselehr, there is no way that Biden could “reign in” the power of the presidency to constrain future presidents from doing exactly what Trump did, again, under similar circumstances. Biden could simply not use the same kind of power Trump has, but there’s nothing to stop another Trump from doing the same thing Trump did. Probably only a Constitutional Amendment (or two) would be needed to clarify power structures to make clear where the boundaries of power really are – vs. being constrained by civic norms as has worked in the US for 220 years til this assclown.
The real reason Trump has been able to get away with so much is the Republican Senate. It is they also who have put aside everything in pursuit of power. The ultimate constraint in the power of the presidency is supposed to be impeachment, and Republicans showed they aren’t willing to impeach their own president pretty much no matter what – party and power takes precedence over country with them. How do you change THAT?
It’s really the voters who need to punish Republicans at the ballot box if we are ever going to change their behavior in the future – but most Republican voters completely support what Trump and the Republicans have done. We have a hopelessly polarized, divided country. Joe Biden being elected and trying to do a few things differently isn’t going to change that.May 26, 2020 at 5:38 pm in reply to: Election model, accurate for many past elections, predicts Biden landslide #46526
It is going to be a scary time for the next year or so, Chris, for various reasons. I fear a legitimate Trump victory, obviously, but I also fear a narrow Biden win that Trump tries to steal with lawsuits in states and Republican legislatures trying to flip te will of their state’s voters. Nancy Pelosi has expressed this fear a few times – that it’s crucial that Democrats win a decisive victory in November, not just a squeaker. Then it will be much harder for them to steal or or try to delegitimize it.
And even if Biden wins and the Democrats re-take the Senate, I don’t see how things are going to wonderful in January (even if we all breathe a big sigh of relief). These people aren’t going away, and they are going to keep making it hard for the Democrats to clean up Trump’s amazing messes and try to get the country on track again. I try not to think about it too much…May 26, 2020 at 9:16 am in reply to: Election model, accurate for many past elections, predicts Biden landslide #46520
If the election were held tomorrow, I have no doubt Biden would win in a landslide.
But it’s not being held tomorrow.
A lot could change between now and November.
Yes, it seems pretty likely Biden will win the popular vote. The electoral college may be tougher.
Republicans have shown that they no longer care about the norms of government and that power is the only thing they care about. Look at the way they’ve turned Wisconsin’s government into a zombie government where the governor holds little power and the legislature and right-wing judiciary hold sway. I wouldn’t put it past them, if Wisconsin voters narrowly for Biden, to hold a special legislative session awarding the electors to Trump. That would have been unthinkable four years ago, but now it doesn’t seem so far-fetched.
Republicans in other states are also actively trying to make it as hard to vote as possible in November. E.g. Texas. Even though Texas going to Biden seems unlikely (but may be really close), a senate seat is up for grabs there. And Democrats need to re-take the Senate too, obviously.
Florida and Ohio went blue in 2008 and 2012. North Carolina went blue in 2008 also. That was a wave election year, when people were freaked out about the economic collapse. It doesn’t seem beyond reason that one of those states could flip back blue in 2020 the way things are going – could be another wave. Really depends how things are in the country by October.
Arizona is trending blue the last few decades. Not sure if 2020 is the year it will flip, but it might.
Trump is just pandering, obviously.
I’m all in favor of everyone who mutually contents to be careless getting together and accepting the consequences…as long as they can’t infect others and have to be wait listed for hospital care if others who weren’t careless took precautions.
Yes, higher turnout is bad news for Republicans. That’s why Trump is now working so hard to block Vote by Mail in states like Michigan.
If he can win all the other states he won in 2016 and hang on to Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin (just one is enough), he will win again.
Pennsylvania already has vote by mail (passed it last fall), so Pennsylvania is probably gone for Trump already.
If Michigan is able to move forward with it, then Michigan will probably go blue, too.
Wisconsin is the big worry, because Republicans succeeded in turning it into a zombie state with a Democratic governor who has little power now. The Republican legislature and right-wing-appointed judiciary will work hard to block voting by mail and suppress the vote. Despite the primary win in Wisconsin recently for the Democrat for Supreme Court, that was not an election with much allure for Republicans so no big reason for them to turn out. The general election will be different.
But if Biden can flip either Arizona, North Carolina, or Florida, and win PA and MI, he’s got it without Wisconsin. Biden would win in a landslide if the election were held today, based on several recent polls, but of course, the election is not being held today. We’ll see what the fall brings…
Missing: “Want to bring some clarity?”
The Bernie Bros claim that they represent the point of view of the vast majority of Americans – you claim to speak for them. But the primary results showed that you do not speak for them – that’s why Biden did so much better. This “silent majority” of voters just waiting for a candidate like Sanders to cater to the issues you claim they care about doesn’t exist.