Andrew

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Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 1,232 total)
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  • in reply to: Real ID Oregon #50266
    Andrew
    Participant

    My Oregon driver’s license is good until 2025, so I guess I’ll just use my passport until then to fly, starting October 1.

    in reply to: Vaccinated? #50251
    Andrew
    Participant

    It seems like older people have fewer side effects on average. My parents both got the Moderna vaccine, and neither had much reaction to either shot. (Mom felt some mild fatigue after the first one but hardly anything.) My step-father felt nothing at all. Both are in their 70’s. Neighbor is 80+ and same thing, felt pretty much no reaction.

    My one night after was pretty unpleasant for sure but far from the worst I’ve ever felt. Knowing it would pass soon and that I wasn’t really “sick” sure made it easier to endure.

    in reply to: How about that infrastructure bill? #50233
    Andrew
    Participant

    Yeah, Chris, that’s really interesting news that Democrats will have a couple of budget reconciliation bills now so a golden opportunity to get some stuff passed that they haven’t had a shot at for years. They can do infrastructure and then if people can’t agree on everything now…push through one infrastructure bill now and do another one later after more compromises can be reached.

    However, I hope they don’t patiently take their time too much. We may assume the Democrats will have a 50-50 +1 majority in the Senate through 2022, but things can happen e.g. a Democratic senator unexpected leaving (like, dying) as happened in 2009 when Ted Kennedy died – and eventually ended their 60 vote filibuster-proof majority. (Wow, imagine that the Democrats had SIXTY VOTES for a few months in 2009-2010!!! And look how relatively little they were able to pass. Biden may wind up passing more consequential legislation in two years with just 50 + 1 votes through reconciliation.)

    in reply to: How about that infrastructure bill? #50222
    Andrew
    Participant

    I’m OK with “lead pipes” and “rural broadband” being considered “infrastructure.”

    in reply to: How about that infrastructure bill? #50220
    Andrew
    Participant

    I haven’t looked carefully at what’s in the new proposal. I wouldn’t be surprised if some of the stuff in it is questionable. But Republicans have zero credibility when it comes to proposing anything. They have a history of pretending they’ll support something if Democrats would only cut the total spending…and then not even voting for it anyway. This happened in 2009 when Democrats reduced the size of the Stimulus bill to try to get Republican support for it…but none voted for it anyway.

    Democrats have learned this lesson – that’s why the American Rescue Plan (Covid relief) bill was not cut back almost at all from the original proposal. If Republicans were sincere in wanting to pass a bipartisan bill, they should be listened to…but they aren’t.

    Very little has been funded in terms of infrastructure since Democrats lost the House in 2010. Almost nothing was done under Trump. So…we are way behind in fixing a lot of stuff. And the way things go in politics, Democrats might wind up losing Congress again in 2022. So this might be their last chance to do anything again for a long time.

    I have faith that certain more conservative Democrats like Manchin will oppose certain things before a Senate bill can be passed and the Senate will compromise on something with the House…without any Republican input.

    in reply to: The relentless scourge of guns #50090
    Andrew
    Participant

    It sounds like Sen. Manchin is not going to budge on supporting new gun restrictions, so I don’t see the Senate passing much of anything, even if the Dems had magically gotten rid of the filibuster.

    The sad truth, as always, is that we don’t live in a majority-run country. The Senate is not a reflection of the population – a minority of the population gets a much larger representation in the Senate than the rest of the country. Until we can persuade voters in about ten other states that some additional gun control laws are required to make it harder for nuts to get assault rifles, nothing much is going to change.

    in reply to: Republicans not taking vaccine #49987
    Andrew
    Participant

    I’m OK with anyone who doesn’t want to get the vaccine getting sick themselves if they choose not to – but the idea of herd immunity is that enough people develop immunity that even the people who can’t be vaccinated (due to health reasons) would still be protected. I don’t want some non-vaxxer Republican getting sick and infecting someone else who is probably vulnerable.

    But as I said, I think enough Republicans will eventually come around on this that it will be a non-issue.

    in reply to: Republicans not taking vaccine #49980
    Andrew
    Participant

    Many Republicans will come around on taking the vaccine, once it’s no longer an in-your-face political issue to them. Doesn’t have to be this week – until there is actually a surplus of vaccine and everyone who wants a shot can easily get one, their reluctance is irrelevant. We have a ways to go until we get to that point.

    Even Trump got vaccinated, even if not on camera.

    in reply to: Republicans not taking vaccine #49976
    Andrew
    Participant

    I’m not especially worried about it. Many Republicans will come around. Many restrictions will be lifted within a few months assuming case numbers decline, and either we will hit herd immunity sooner than some experts think because of the vaccines…or a bunch more non-vaxxers will get infected and we’ll reach herd immunity that way.

    in reply to: The American Rescue Plan #49974
    Andrew
    Participant

    Chris, I don’t actually support a national $15 minimum wage. I think the cost of living varies greatly across the US, so it’s silly to try to impose the same wage everywhere – the cost of living is not the same in New York City as in El Paso, so why should the wages be the same?

    Apparently, a number of Democrats feel the same way. Eight Senate Democrats voted against an amendment to the American Rescue Plan bill to include the $15 minimum wage in it.

    I would definitely support raising the national minimum wage from what it is now – it’s obviously too low. I would support indexing it so it will go up annually with inflation also. I think local minimum wages per state or locality are a good thing too – then people living in a region can choose elected officials who will impose their popular will. E.g. San Francisco has a minimum wage of $15.59/hour – in a city with a steep cost of living, this makes sense.

    I’d also support a federal law prohibiting states from disallowing local minimum wages in cities – e.g. in red states like Georgia, the state government as far as I know, will not allow Atlanta to impose a higher minimum wage for their city than the rest of the state’s. How about a federal law allowing localities to set their own minimum wage up to 150% of the national minimum wage?

    in reply to: Draft Cuomo starting to look interesting to Dems #49966
    Andrew
    Participant

    Yes, Paul, exactly: politics are fluid. And that’s why it’s so silly to make confident predictions months in advance about how an election will turn out. You can’t possibly know how things will have changed months later.

    But the idea from a year ago that Biden should drop out or that Cuomo should be nominated instead based on two weeks of positive news cycles seemed as nutty to me at the time as it does in retrospect, even without the sexual harassment allegations.

    in reply to: Draft Cuomo starting to look interesting to Dems #49955
    Andrew
    Participant

    Yeah, those people who insisted last spring that Andrew Cuomo would be sooooo much better a candidate than Biden sure look silly now!!!

    in reply to: Rush Limbaugh Dead at age 70! #49823
    Andrew
    Participant

    There should be decades of Limbaugh shows on tape. Don’t you think some smart programmers could come up with some artificial intelligence software that would react to the news of the day and just insert Limbaugh quotes from past shows apropos to the latest news story? Three hours of this a day might not sound coherent to the average person, but Limbaugh’s core audience isn’t that bright, and I doubt most would catch on. Most of his shtick was repetitious anyway.

    Andrew
    Participant

    Trump’s biggest influence may be in the Republican primaries. His record in endorsing general election candidates is terrible. E.g. he cost the Republicans the Senate by losing them those two Georgia Senate seats they should have won. There were plenty of other cases while he was in office where Democrats unexpectedly won in red states thanks to Trump’s endorsement of the nutty Republican. Trump seems to influence only when he himself is on the ballot.

    Andrew
    Participant

    Let’s see if this actually translates into election wins for Democrats going forward, because that’s all that matters, not how many are registered in any particular party.

Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 1,232 total)