Forum Replies Created
September 22, 2019 at 3:39 pm in reply to: Trump asks Ukrainian president to help Giuliani w/ investigation of Biden's son #42527
Naturally, Republicans are responding to Trump’s Ukraine initiative by calling for an investigation of Biden – e.g. Lindsey Graham. Would be like calling for an investigation of the DNC after the Watergate break-in in 1972.
Andy: “Whoever controls the Senate after election day is the real winner. drumpf gets impeached and convicted if he wins the general but loses the Senate”
It is impossible for me to imagine Trump being impeached and removed if he is re-elected, unless something new (and really awful) comes out after the election that the American voters did not know about. Even if Democrats manage to win the Senate, getting to 67 votes to convict to remove Trump – just after the American people re-elected him??? – seems a real long-shot.
Missing: “Doing that will improve chances very considerably over Biden and Harris.”
Could be Sanders will break Clinton’s record for most votes by a candidate who lost the electoral college. I actually want to win the electoral college, though.
“At the very least, meaningful efforts to advance popular, reasonable, necessary policy would deliver more votes.”
Sure, among liberals. Can’t win a general election with just liberals.
“Surely you don’t expect votes from people who are being told to basically sit down and shut up.”
And you aren’t doing the same? Why should I vote for Bernie Sanders in the general election? Maybe I’ll just vote for Gary Johnson instead – what do you think?
I’m starting to think we should give up on defeating Trump and nominate Sanders or Warren and just let the liberals have their wet dream so we can get serious in 2024 and actually try to win the presidency again.
Some Democrats have very short memories. They’ve forgotten for example how the liberal Walter Mondale lost 49 states to Ronald Reagan in 1984. Democrats hadn’t gotten tired of losing yet. We had to do that to get to the point where we could finally nominate someone like Bill Clinton who could actually win again. Painful but maybe necessary to have to re-learn this lesson every once in a while…August 23, 2019 at 6:04 pm in reply to: Old Car Batteries Never Die, So Why Has The Price Of New Ones Gone Up So Much? #42316
I’ve never had a car battery last 13 years. The last one I got from Costco is on year six. It got so weak over the winter that I assumed it was about to go, but once it warmed up it has worked better, not surprisingly. (Doesn’t help that I am not driving much these days.) By next winter I expect it will be totally shot.
Brian: “I’m convinced that if (hopefully when) Trump loses in 2020, he will refuse to concede defeat and will do everything in his power to overturn said defeat. Through the courts, through his BFFs at Fox News, through Twitter, through the Republicans on Capitol Hill. It could drag out a long, long time.”
I agree that Trump will refuse to concede defeat and will do his best to de-legitimize his successor, should he lose. But as Andy says, if Congress certifies someone else in January 2021, then that person will become the next president at noon on January 20, 2021, no matter what Trump says or does. He may scream and whine and tweet, but it won’t change that.
He would have a limited amount of time to challenge election results in various states – but it is Congress who decided whom to certify, not the courts.
The worst-case scenario I can imagine is that Trump manages to prevent certain states from submitting electors to Congress in January in time for certification – and if one candidate doesn’t have 270 electoral votes at that time, then the House – by a vote of each state delegation – would choose the next president and the Senate the VP. This would be the NEXT congress, the one elected in 2020. A Democratic majority wouldn’t play in necessarily; it would come down to state delegations, each of whom gets one vote. I haven’t done the math today, but that would mean at least 26 state delegations in the House would have to vote for the Democrat. Are there 26 blue states? There may not be – there are a lot of little red states, and in this type of vote, they would get a lot more power than in a normal House procedure.
I don’t put a lot of faith either in polls now saying who will win next November. Such early polls have historically been meaningless.
Personally, though, I believe there are enough disgruntled independent swing voters who are desperate for an alternative to Trump that they can stomach that if the Democrats can just nominate someone voters don’t hate (like Hillary Clinton!), someone who is competent and respectable, that might be more than enough to sink Trump. All of the current crop of Democratic nominees are flawed in some way – they are all a risk against Trump. But Biden might be our best bet.
But if we nominate Elizabeth “Take Away Your Private Insurance” Warren? I think we are probably doomed.
Vitalogy: “And Paul, has Trump gained or lost total voters since 2016? While he’s certainly shored up his ultra idiotized base, I think he’s at a negative loss overall with voters.”
Indeed, his net approval rating in numerous states he won in 2016 is under water:
In Florida and North Carolina? Only down -1%. But Democrats don’t need to win either one of those in 2020 to beat Trump, if they win three of the five above.
semoochie: “Is there any way we can get Greenland to buy Trump?”
I think Putin’s asking price would be too high.
It would be tragic if these trains were discontinued. Add it to the long list of horrible things Trump has done or might do. Elections have consequences.
Seconded. Really enjoyed First Man also.
Unfortunately, I think you may have it backwards. This kind of shift to cities may actually increase the Republican Party’s leverage in the Senate and over the presidency. That’s because less populated areas get more representation per capita under the Constitution than more populated areas – why states like Wyoming get the same two senators that California gets. And economically depressed people tend to fall prey to the lies and demagoguery of the Republican Party.
Republicans have won the presidency three times since 1992 but only won the national popular vote once (2004). Republicans winning the presidency in the electoral college but losing the popular vote might become routine for them going forward.
Just watched the third and final episode. Great documentary! Nice perspective, different from the other documentaries I’ve seen about the Apollo program.
Thanks for the heads-up, Dan! I’ve already read some recent books about the moon race coming out the year of the 50th anniversary. Love this stuff.
I’ll have to watch it from the beginning online. Here’s part 1:July 6, 2019 at 12:12 am in reply to: Harris whomped on Biden. She ended his campaign today. #41989
Harris or Klobuchar for Attorney General – unless one/both are on the ticket.
Can’t see Sanders or Biden in the next administration unless they are on the ticket. (Sanders won’t be.)