Andrew

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  • in reply to: Trump deems re-election more important than… #47058
    Andrew
    Participant

    There seem to be a number of people of the opinion that “we all just need to catch the virus, and if a few people die, so be it.”

    There are others who think Covid is some kind of conspiracy – from 5G towers or a media hoax or whatever.

    Still others simply don’t believe in science. They are still convinced Covid is just like the flu. And it’s not the role of the Federal Government to interfere.

    Unfortunately, there are plenty of such people in America, and tens of millions of them will vote for Trump in November.

    in reply to: Biden VP Pick #46991
    Andrew
    Participant

    Deane: “I don’t know if Trump knew about this issue or not, or even if it ever occured, but I would consider it a pretty serious situation if there is any substance to it. You can’t go by what the NYT’s prints, so we don’t really know the facts at this time.”

    Can we go by what the Wall Street Journal prints?

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/russian-spy-unit-paid-taliban-to-attack-americans-u-s-intelligence-says-11593214584

    in reply to: Biden VP Pick #46961
    Andrew
    Participant

    I think it will be Harris, too. Biden has great respect for the Senate, having served there for so long. Harris ran a disappointing presidential campaign, after launching one with such high expectations. Her campaign speeches were devoid of imagination, filled with uninspiring cliches. But she also sometimes showed toughness in other situations e.g. when questioning witnesses in Senate hearings and in some of her debate performances.

    Biden would be elected in a landslide if the election were held tomorrow. But it won’t be held tomorrow. Biden is much further ahead of Trump now than Clinton was at this point in 2016, but things can change a lot in a few months… just like I’ve been saying for months, when some of you guaranteed Trump would be re-elected no matter what. I make not guarantees about November, even though it’s looking pretty good for Biden right now.

    in reply to: Is the dam about to burst? #46953
    Andrew
    Participant

    It will be crucial for Democrats to hold on to the House, as the NEXT Congress ultimately decides who the next president is. It’s usually a formality, but in 2021 it may not be. If there are fights in states over electors, it may be up to Congress to decide which electors even to count. It will be a lot easier of Democrats can also re-take the Senate. If that happens, I will worry a whole lot less about Trump’s exit.

    in reply to: Is the dam about to burst? #46952
    Andrew
    Participant

    Chris, I am worried about the period between November 4 and January 20 (assuming Biden wins). I don’t see Trump going quietly. He’ll claim “fraud!” until his dying day if he doesn’t win, no matter how much of a landslide it might be. He can really make it hard for Biden to take over. He can file lawsuits in states with close elections and try to challenge the result. He can work to delegitimize Biden and will probably have help from Republicans in Congress, who will revert right back to obstructionism just like they did under Obama.

    With all of the new states probably going to do mail-in voting for the first time in a general election, we may not even know the winner of the election for the first few days. So November 4 may be kind of anti-climactic.

    in reply to: Is the dam about to burst? #46949
    Andrew
    Participant

    Deane: “It probably doesn’t need to be said that a weak VP gives a Republican a better shot at being elected in 2024. A strong VP could very likely get elected President in 2024.”

    I don’t agree. Sitting vice presidents don’t have a good record of getting elected to succeed the sitting president. George H. W. Bush was the first one to win, in 1988, in over a hundred years.

    All depends what kind of role Biden might give to this VP and if that person is already a political entity. We already know it will be a woman, though, and I think there will be a lot of pressure again from the Democratic side to elect a woman.

    in reply to: Is the dam about to burst? #46945
    Andrew
    Participant

    Deane: “It pains me to have to vote for Biden, I just hope he doesn’t screw it up with the VP choice.”

    If I were a traditional Republican, I’d be thinking about 2024. Get Trump out in 2020, know Biden is likely going to serve only one term…and maybe by 2024 Republicans will finally wake up and embrace someone like John Kasich, who is at least an an actual human being.

    in reply to: Best Campaign Ad Yet? #46915
    Andrew
    Participant

    The President of the United States was attending the graduation at West Point. He has an advance team. Either they screwed up big-time and didn’t install an appropriate, safe ramp for him to walk down…or Trump is full of shit. Which explanation do you think is most plausible?

    in reply to: Trump’s Tulsa rally is a bust. SAD! #46908
    Andrew
    Participant

    The K-Pop story is cute, but it’s not plausible. There was no limit to tickets available. An overflow area was setup. As many actual Trump supporters as wanted to risk infection could have attended had they wanted to.

    More likely, the low attendance was a combination of Trump’s low popularity and fear of catching Covid.

    in reply to: Best Campaign Ad Yet? #46872
    Andrew
    Participant

    LOL!

    Andrew
    Participant

    How many non-believers will they take with them? That’s the problem.

    in reply to: Polls say most don’t favor defunding police #46792
    Andrew
    Participant

    I don’t see how re-allocating police resources would have saved George Floyd’s life. Am I missing something?

    It seems George Floyd was killed because a thuggish cop, Derek Chauvin, was allowed to remain on the Minneapolis police force for far too long. Chauvin had 18 complaints on his record over almost 20 years on the force – and most were just dismissed. Why was that tolerated? If you want to prevent more black people from being killed by the cops, you need to figure out how to make it so cops with complaints aren’t allowed to remain cops, no matter how much you try to re-organize or defund the police departments.

    in reply to: Is the dam about to burst? #46743
    Andrew
    Participant

    Stacey Abrams seems wholly unqualified to be president. Even Barack Obama won a statewide Senate election and then managed to have a few years in the Senate to get the lay of the land in Washington. Even though Obama was so inexperienced in 2008, running and winning the nomination was kind of a trial by fire, proof that he could hold up under the bright lights and pressure and not wilt.

    Stacey Abrams has had none of that seasoning. She seems pretty bright, but her experience in politics consists of ten years in the stage legislature and losing a state-wide election. Her ability step in and be president is wholly unproven – being Biden’s sidekick in the general election will not prove she’s up to it, the way the grueling 2008 campaign was for Obama.

    Michelle Lujan Grisham, the governor of New Mexico, has at least had some brief executive experience (albeit only since January 2019). She was in the US Congress for 16 years before that. She’s 60. Biden probably has grandchildren older than that. And she’s Hispanic. In my view, Biden is popular among African Americans but weak among Hispanics. So choosing her would shore up that weakness. She might help Biden carry Arizona, which has a large Hispanic population. If Biden can win PA and MI and carry all of the states Hillary won, he doesn’t even need Wisconsin if he can win Arizona.

    in reply to: Is the dam about to burst? #46740
    Andrew
    Participant

    I think Biden’s biggest challenge in a VP is picking someone the disaffected independent voters and moderate Republicans are OK with – knowing that Biden is old and might not survive his term. Not an Elizabeth Warren, who is kind of scary to those types of voters. Just someone who won’t rock the boat too much and is also competent enough to take the reins of the presidency if/when needed, not a neophyte who just has the right skin color.

    in reply to: Is the dam about to burst? #46739
    Andrew
    Participant

    As for the “dam” – I agree with Deane that these are all establishment Republicans now coming out against him, more or less, except for the retired military, which I think is a signal to Trump not to f**k with the military more than that they are going to campaign for Biden. And yes, there is a lot of time on the clock between now and November 3. It looks bad for Trump right now – but the election isn’t being held right now. The way things work in politics, the pendulum can swing back pretty easily. If anything, Trump is lucky all of this is happening now vs. in October.

Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 1,017 total)