The Beginning of the End for the donald forums forums Politics and other things The Beginning of the End for the donald

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    Andy Brown

    On Monday, Donald Trump spent much of the first presidential debate bragging about his talent for tax evasion, the fact that he doesn’t discriminate against black people at all of his properties, and that time he forced Barack Obama to release his birth certificate.

    The American people weren’t impressed. And a new batch of polls suggests the mogul’s performance set him back in the states that matter most.

    Clinton is ahead of Trump by three percentage points: 43-40 percent in the four-way matchup, according to a new Fox News Poll of likely voters. Her advantage is within the poll’s margin of sampling error. Two weeks ago, Clinton was up by one (41-40 percent).

    In the two-candidate head-to-head, Clinton tops Trump by five: 49-44 percent. Two weeks ago, Trump was up by one (46-45 percent).

    Hillary Clinton gained the most ground in Suffolk University’s latest survey of Nevada, which puts the Democratic nominee ahead of Trump 44 to 38 percent. Clinton had trailed in every poll of the Silver State released this month, and no poll this year put her ahead by more than 4. In mid-August, Suffolk showed Clinton leading Trump by just 2 percentage points.

    A new poll out of Florida tells a similar story. In a post-debate survey by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Clinton leads Trump 46 to 42 percent. In the firm’s last poll of the Sunshine State back in late August, Clinton led by only 2 points. Notably, the poll shows third-party contenders Gary Johnson and Jill Stein both on the cusp of becoming non-entities — only 4 percent of Floridians support Johnson, while just one percent back Stein.

    Meanwhile, Clinton has opened up a 7-point lead in New Hampshire, according to a new survey from MassINC Polling Group/WBUR-FM. That margin is among Clinton’s best in recent polls of the Granite State, although it’s a considerable step down from WBUR-FM’s last survey — back in early July, the station showed her on top by 17.

    Finally, the Detroit News’ latest poll of Michigan has Clinton ahead by 7, which is the best margin she’s posted there since early August. The Wolverine State has been reliably blue in recent cycles, but Trump’s strength among white voters without college degrees has allowed him to keep the state mildly competitive. This latest survey suggests Trump has as much of a chance of turning Michigan red as Clinton does of flipping South Carolina.

    In Michigan, as elsewhere, voters thought Clinton won the debate by a more than two-to-one margin. A nationwide Fox News poll reports Clinton won by a 3 to 1 margin.

    Fox News also reports Clinton leads among women (+20 points), non-whites (+66), and voters under age 45 (+8). She gained with each of those groups since the debate. Compared to two weeks ago, her advantage among women increased by 7 points, by 15 points among non-whites, and 8 among voters under age 45 (the candidates were tied in mid-September).

    Spin that Bacon. I predicted this on Tuesday and this is just the first batch of polls. It will continue next week.


    Electoral Vote shows Hillary at 317-221. And that’s giving Trump the states of Ohio, Nevada, and Iowa. All of which are swings.

    The math says:


    Legally paying as little taxes as possible is not “tax evasion.” Everybody does that.

    Andy Brown

    However, being as wealthy as drumpf claims and paying no federal taxes whatsoever, probably for many consecutive years does not pass the smell test. Being the first presidential candidate in modern history to not release their taxes also does not pass the smell test.

    You hate bullies. Drumpf is a bully. He is credited by numerous bipartisan fact checking organizations as telling more lies by far than any other candidate ever evaluated. He has been sued by the Feds for racial discrimination twice. He is on his third marriage. He has cheated numerous contractors and workers for decades. Do you really think he would follow through on any campaign promises at all if elected? Of course that is not going to happen.

    His campaign peaked Monday as the debate started. It’s been all downhill since and it is not going to turn around. But this should come as no surprise to anyone that has been paying the least bit attention.

    There will be no second wind. It’s over.


    323 EV’s as of today is the prediction at Electoral Vote.


    It has been indeed a rough week for the Trumpster. His obsession with a former Miss universe contestant is unhinged as Hillary basically pointed out. I never thought that we would look back at mitt Romney and John McCain as decent Republican candidates compared to this absolute dolt.

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