Is this how the GOP ultimately dies?

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    A new study examining the future of work in the U.S. spells bad news for America’s smaller communities and a growing national divide when it comes to jobs.
    The report, published this week by the McKinsey Global Institute, indicates the nation’s biggest cities are on pace to become significantly larger, richer and more powerful in the coming decade, while the rest of the nation, particularly already depressed rural regions, are in danger of losing more jobs, many to automation.

    The 113-page study that analyzed 315 cities and more than 3,000 counties shows the nation’s 25 most prosperous cities, which have fared the best since the Great Recession in 2008, are expected to see the most job growth in coming years. These cities include New York, San Francisco, Denver, Dallas, Seattle and Houston.

    At risk of falling further behind are the nation’s smaller communities, particularly those whose economies have traditionally relied upon agricultural and manufacturing jobs and whose work forces are older and less educated.
    “We’re on the brink of a different age where automation is going to replace a lot of tasks,” said Susan Lund, a partner at McKinsey Global Institute, which conducts research on the economy. “The report is a call to action. Left unchecked, the disparities within the nation are going to widen.”

    According to Jed Kolko, chief economist at Indeed, the findings of the report are consistent with national trends his team has been tracking.

    “The more urban an occupation is, the more likely that occupation is to grow in the future,” he said. “Future job growth is likely to favor urban areas.”


    Unfortunately, I think you may have it backwards. This kind of shift to cities may actually increase the Republican Party’s leverage in the Senate and over the presidency. That’s because less populated areas get more representation per capita under the Constitution than more populated areas – why states like Wyoming get the same two senators that California gets. And economically depressed people tend to fall prey to the lies and demagoguery of the Republican Party.

    Republicans have won the presidency three times since 1992 but only won the national popular vote once (2004). Republicans winning the presidency in the electoral college but losing the popular vote might become routine for them going forward.

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