November 7, 2017 at 6:13 pm #32858paulwalkerParticipant
While not a true indicator of mid-term congressional elections, these races do matter.November 7, 2017 at 8:10 pm #32859
NJ was a lost cause for the GOP. VA was in play, but it turns out VA was a blowout for the Dems. Between both of these elections, it’s clear that Trump’s low approval rating is a drag on the general electorate.November 7, 2017 at 8:16 pm #32860
And then there’s this:
Virginia’s most socially conservative state lawmaker was ousted from office Tuesday by Danica Roem, a Democrat who is poised to become the nation’s first openly transgender state lawmaker and who embodies much of what Del. Robert G. Marshall fought against in Richmond.
The race focused on traffic and other local issues in suburban Prince William County but also exposed the nation’s fault lines over gender identity. It pitted a 33-year-old former journalist who began her physical gender transition four years ago against a 13-term incumbent who called himself Virginia’s “chief homophobe” and earlier this year introduced a “bathroom bill” that died in committee.
“Discrimination is a disqualifier,” a jubilant Roem said Tuesday night as her margin of victory became clear. “This is about the people of the 13th District disregarding fear tactics, disregarding phobias . . . where we celebrate you because of who you are, not despite it.”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/danica-roem-will-be-vas-first-openly-transgender-elected-official-after-unseating-conservative-robert-g-marshall-in-house-race/2017/11/07/d534bdde-c0af-11e7-959c-fe2b598d8c00_story.html?utm_term=.46c7b4f9fc25November 8, 2017 at 4:50 am #32864BrianlParticipant
I’m not at all surprised with New Jersey, as Chris Christie’s approval ratings were in the teens. The state’s voters probably wanted to steer the hell away from the GOP because of that.
Virginia going so heavily Democratic is a surprise.November 8, 2017 at 6:46 am #32865edselehrParticipant
Democrats learning how to get their asses down to the polls…what a novel concept.November 8, 2017 at 9:45 am #32866lastdayParticipant
Trump Effect!November 8, 2017 at 12:12 pm #32867AndrewParticipant
It seems almost certain Democrats will do well in the November 2018 elections across the board if things continue as they are now. Maybe pick up some governorships and state houses, most likely some US House seats. US Senate is more iffy just because Republicans have so few seats to defend in 2018. So even if they clean up next November, they may still fall short of re-taking control Congress – which is the big prize. The House may be tough due to gerrymandering.November 8, 2017 at 12:51 pm #32868AmusParticipant
US Senate is more iffy just because Republicans have so few seats to defend in 2018
I agree with this, but there have already been some fairly high profile retirements announced.
It will be interesting to see how many more Republicans rush to the exits after yesterday.November 8, 2017 at 12:59 pm #32869Andy BrownParticipant
Nothing is ever guaranteed come election day. However, the results from yesterday do reflect changing tides. Clearly, the voters yesterday offered their first rebuke of the drumpf Presidency. Republicans definitely lost votes in the rich suburban areas they had grown strong in. According to exit polls in Virginia, 6 in 10 voters disapprove of the job (I use the word job loosely) drumpf is doing. However, many traditionally red counties remain so. Extrapolating yesterday to next year is a sticky wicket, though, however it is fair to assume that:
1. The loss of Christie’s “smash mouth politics” may not last. He’s unemployed and we may soon find him working for the drumpf administration is some menial role that he will amplify and distort. Still, I for one will enjoy the silence. I know my friends back in New Jersey are ecstatic to be rid of this goon.
2. Virginia is a purple state and has been for many years. Clearly, though, the state as a whole has now voiced its clear dissatisfaction with drumpfism. The GOP nominee endeared drumpf politics even though he wasn’t brave enough to invite the drumpfster to stump with him. The voters message: Fuck no.
3. The rural undereducated vote in Virginia didn’t switch from red to blue, but the wealthy Republican voters (like in Virginia Beach, normally very red) have shown us that unlike most of the GOP’rs in Congress, they will not put the party in front of the state’s needs and they overwhelmingly voted blue.
4. Around the nation in state and local elections, in what is normally considered a stay at home election year, people came out and voted and it is fair to say that they did so to protest drumpfism. Its is also fair to assume that this will be magnified next year.
5. Nothing happened yesterday that can be deemed positive for the drumpfster or the GOP. That is the best news.
6. Republicans are definitely in trouble.
Republicans have been ignoring warning signs
Across a series of special elections held over the past year, Democratic candidates for House and state legislature have been outperforming Hillary Clinton’s 2016 margin by 11 points and Barack Obama’s 2012 margin by 9 points.
It’s not a completely uniform trend. Cuban-American Republicans running in South Florida continue to do far better locally than the national GOP does even when, as in Florida’s 40th Senate District, they ultimately lose. And Democrats are struggling in Connecticut, where the local economy is bad and the incumbent governor unpopular. But nationally it’s clear that the traditional trend against the incumbent party is, indeed, in effect.
Eight state legislature seats flipped from R to D in special elections, with none going the opposite direction. A couple more flipped already Tuesday night, and it seems likely that a state Senate special election in the Seattle suburbs will flip the entire Washington state Senate when those votes are all counted.November 8, 2017 at 1:37 pm #32870LangstonParticipant
Democrats were able to flip seats without colluding with Russia, without fake news, without gerrymandering, without voter suppression, and without dirty tricks.November 8, 2017 at 1:51 pm #32871AmusParticipant
They also did it without appealing to these guys;November 8, 2017 at 2:15 pm #32872skepticalParticipant
Obamacare won, too. In Maine, voters passed a ballot measure that expands Obamacare. It went on the ballot after noted transphobe and general asshole, governor Paul Lapage vetoed it 5 times.
In short, our president has a bloody nose. Heh.November 8, 2017 at 3:30 pm #32882cbaravelliSpectator
Congratulations. Especially, in State legislatures.
But wait! There’s more.
1. Virginia is called New California.
B. Motor voter & mail-in ballots.
3. Third highest immigration numbers and ratios beating Illinois and New York.
D. Felons vote.
5. D.C. bedroom communities because Maryland is all screwed up.
More demographics than any other reason although Trump is a factor. Still, take what victories as you can.November 8, 2017 at 7:39 pm #32888
And then there’s this: Chris Hurst, whose girlfriend died in live TV shooting, beats NRA candidate in Virginia.
A first-time politician who lost his girlfriend to gun violence has defeated the National Rifle Association-backed incumbent in a state house race in Virginia. Chris Hurst, a former television journalist, ran on a platform that included gun violence prevention.
Hurst’s victory, just two days after a mass shooting at a Texas church left 26 people dead, was hailed by gun control advocates as proof that it is possible to make progress on America’s gun violence crisis at the local level. Despite a series of increasingly frequent, deadly mass shootings, congressional Republicans and Donald Trump continue to block any attempt at gun law reform in Washington.
Hurst’s girlfriend, 24-year-old journalist Alison Parker, was shot dead on live television during a routine morning broadcast in 2015, along with WDBJ7 cameraman Adam Ward. Parker had been quietly dating Hurst, another reporter at the station, and they had just moved in together. A reported 40,000 people watched the shooting live.
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